Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex Bolt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc69c9f42d589738d8b59c646618be7c2b984fc6cfc37261b8c0473f78f5e3049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin Bonziof Benjamin Bonzi, Alex Bolt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Bolt | 24c | 6,163$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Alex Bolt | 46c | 3,236$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Benjamin Bonzi | 51c | 972.96$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.96 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Benjamin Bonzi | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Benjamin Bonzi | 64c | 856.41$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Bolt | 31c | 687.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Benjamin Bonzi | 62c | 537.1$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…623bbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 69c | 485.51$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Benjamin Bonzi | 58c | 453.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 51c | 440.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Bolt | 35c | 434.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Alex Bolt | 36c | 404.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 78c | 335.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Bolt | 50c | 330.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Bolt | 29c | 322.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Benjamin Bonzi | 68c | 293.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Bolt | 45c | 288.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Alex Bolt | 8c | 249.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 53c | 230.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Bolt | 39c | 224.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Benjamin Bonzi | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Benjamin Bonzi | 60c | 197.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Benjamin Bonzi | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Benjamin Bonzi | 71c | 175.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Benjamin Bonzi | 60c | 171.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Benjamin Bonzi | 59c | 168.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Benjamin Bonzi | 66c | 152.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Benjamin Bonzi | 71c | 141.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 139.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e7eebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 69c | 100.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Alex Bolt | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Alex Bolt | 43c | 87.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alex Bolt | 41c | 82.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Bolt | 27c | 77.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Benjamin Bonzi | 73c | 74.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alex Bolt | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Bolt | 23c | 73.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Benjamin Bonzi | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Bolt | 27c | 69.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Benjamin Bonzi | 61c | 67.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Alex Bolt | 57c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Alex Bolt | 27c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Alex Bolt | 41c | 60.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Alex Bolt | 31c | 56.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alex Bolt | 32c | 52.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Alex Bolt | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Alex Bolt | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alex Bolt | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Bolt | 42c | 47.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Benjamin Bonzi | 66c | 47.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Bolt | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Benjamin Bonzi | 54c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Benjamin Bonzi | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 56c | 42.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Alex Bolt | 42c | 38.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…6463backed Benjamin Bonzi | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alex Bolt | 37c | 31.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Benjamin Bonzi | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Benjamin Bonzi | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Benjamin Bonzi | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Benjamin Bonzi | 56c | 18.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Benjamin Bonzi | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Benjamin Bonzi | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex Boltthis page
- Benjamin Bonzi vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bonzi vs. Bolt: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Bonzi vs. Bolt: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bonzi vs. Bolt: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.