TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santiago: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Matias Soto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Moreno De Alboranof Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, Matias Soto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,738 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran76c7,488$5,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.932,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Matias Soto33c6,124$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Matias Soto24c3,717$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c3,604$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Matias Soto30c3,373$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.49744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Matias Soto30c2,646$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.4655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Matias Soto28c2,458$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67811832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran77c1,960$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9220155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran71c1,831$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9820847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Matias Soto8c1,619$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c1,350$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.246,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran77c1,307$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.92560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matias Soto29c1,200$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Matias Soto37c1,158$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.425724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Matias Soto17c1,155$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.446852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Matias Soto29c823.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0924229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Matias Soto25c800.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Matias Soto13c779.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Matias Soto31c767.4$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3935040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matias Soto29c741.11$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.336,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c710.22$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.031,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Matias Soto16c631.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran76c523.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.251,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran79c499.85$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.552,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Matias Soto25c487$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9728247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…623bbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran73c460.55$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.553046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran78c349.78$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.696,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran72c264.89$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2681933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c250.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Matias Soto29c237.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799f…438cbacked Matias Soto29c225$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Matias Soto7c209.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.533713.5%5 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-56.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5651445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran74c194.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.254,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Matias Soto30c186.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran75c185.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6630844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran66c180$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.24045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Matias Soto32c154.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran73c152.29$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.539,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Matias Soto29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c143.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.997,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c142.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.844060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Matias Soto29c142.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.216358.9%96 W · 67 L+12.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran79c115.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.382,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran78c112.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c106.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.922,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Matias Soto30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Matias Soto29c98.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Matias Soto20c93.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Matias Soto30c92.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Matias Soto23c91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.231,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran78c90.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1543058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Matias Soto25c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4989364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c73.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran71c68.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5639872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7910967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Matias Soto27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.258048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c57.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9828764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Matias Soto29c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.333,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Matias Soto25c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.254,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Matias Soto29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3718233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Matias Soto28c51.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4738147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Matias Soto28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Matias Soto25c49.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3915848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c49.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7915147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c49.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.993,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Matias Soto28c45.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran79c45.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5526349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran72c45.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9424249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2525546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2516867.9%114 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c40.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5365264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matias Soto28c39.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Matias Soto29c35.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.256634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran71c29.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.698861.4%54 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9916762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a8…b74ebacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c26.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.124235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Nicolas Moreno De Alboran70c23.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0314949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran73c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8610967%73 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.