Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e36ea78bfbb1185dfa76470fa119860a827323fb37976f48a780c70172a616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Buenoof Gonzalo Bueno, Franco Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Franco Agamenone | 9c | 7,776$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 2,140$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.2 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Franco Agamenone | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Agamenone | 38c | 773.49$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 62c | 570.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Franco Agamenone | 5c | 491.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Gonzalo Bueno | 61c | 435.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Franco Agamenone | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 66c | 380.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Franco Agamenone | 38c | 317.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Franco Agamenone | 6c | 315.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 261.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Gonzalo Bueno | 69c | 201.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Franco Agamenone | 37c | 196$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 192.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gonzalo Bueno | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Franco Agamenone | 39c | 162.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 151.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 67c | 149.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Franco Agamenone | 34c | 143.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 142.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…519ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Franco Agamenone | 21c | 125.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 124.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Franco Agamenone | 27c | 116.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…0d6cbacked Franco Agamenone | 11c | 96.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Franco Agamenone | 27c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Franco Agamenone | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Franco Agamenone | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 60.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Franco Agamenone | 23c | 51.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Franco Agamenone | 36c | 45.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Franco Agamenone | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Franco Agamenone | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Gonzalo Bueno | 63c | 36.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Gonzalo Bueno | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Franco Agamenone | 34c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Franco Agamenone | 38c | 26.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 65c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santiago: Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Agamenonethis page
- Bueno vs. Agamenone: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Bueno vs. Agamenone: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bueno vs AgamenoneBueno won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.