Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Moyuka Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129aced21c86760af156521a9d1f9a42a4d070415f55762b1de33572874f6d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moyuka Uchijimaof Maria Lourdes Carle, Moyuka Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 7,347$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 73c | 6,281$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.85 | 662 | 58.9%390 W · 272 L | -32.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 2,860$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.39 | 1,709 | 50.6%864 W · 845 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Moyuka Uchijima | 69c | 2,172$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.56 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 27c | 2,085$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.95 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 30c | 1,770$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 1,316$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 1,100$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 29c | 1,064$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 19c | 787.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Moyuka Uchijima | 79c | 645.39$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 68c | 581.5$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 446.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 20c | 433.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 395.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…d522backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 30c | 376.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 365.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 33c | 305.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 21c | 298$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 7,791 | 47.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L | +39.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 265.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 208.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 26c | 194.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 30c | 188.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 23c | 160.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 32c | 148.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,060 | 59.5%1,226 W · 834 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 24c | 114.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 907 | 64.3%583 W · 324 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 86.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 66c | 75.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…eababacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 23c | 74.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…72eebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 61.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Moyuka Uchijima | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 23c | 51.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 980 | 44.7%438 W · 542 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 24c | 50.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 290 | 64.5%187 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 31c | 48.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 47.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 72c | 39.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 33c | 31.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 78c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 33c | 30.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Moyuka Uchijima | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Moyuka Uchijima | 72c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,988 | 46.1%917 W · 1,071 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.