Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Filip Jianu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2319b22b089c2b1240c3dacfe5dae23924c70bc52c5d1b5878b1c3b995dfcdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filip Jianuof Ryan Nijboer, Filip Jianu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 2,432$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.43 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 2,328$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.3 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Filip Jianu | 55c | 1,971$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.5 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 29c | 1,214$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 19c | 1,088$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Filip Jianu | 54c | 933.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.53 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ryan Nijboer | 20c | 734.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Filip Jianu | 48c | 634.38$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Ryan Nijboer | 53c | 567.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ryan Nijboer | 25c | 557.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Filip Jianu | 65c | 517.85$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Filip Jianu | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ryan Nijboer | 34c | 494.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…ecbdbacked Filip Jianu | 75c | 447.24$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Filip Jianu | 72c | 399.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 393.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Ryan Nijboer | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Ryan Nijboer | 33c | 317.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jianu | 73c | 314.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 40c | 305.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 34c | 303.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ryan Nijboer | 24c | 300.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Filip Jianu | 78c | 296.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ryan Nijboer | 24c | 295.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ryan Nijboer | 10c | 277$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 264.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Ryan Nijboer | 41c | 211.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ryan Nijboer | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 186.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Filip Jianu | 65c | 150.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…c4dabacked Ryan Nijboer | 18c | 137.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Ryan Nijboer | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ryan Nijboer | 23c | 108.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Ryan Nijboer | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Filip Jianu | 78c | 91.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…69d0backed Filip Jianu | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Ryan Nijboer | 30c | 85.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Filip Jianu | 79c | 82.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Filip Jianu | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Filip Jianu | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ryan Nijboer | 23c | 78.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Filip Jianu | 77c | 77.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ryan Nijboer | 34c | 66.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ryan Nijboer | 37c | 62.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Ryan Nijboer | 22c | 58.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Ryan Nijboer | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Filip Jianu | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Ryan Nijboer | 50c | 53.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ryan Nijboer | 28c | 53.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Ryan Nijboer | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Filip Jianu | 73c | 49.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Ryan Nijboer | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Filip Jianu | 73c | 41.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Filip Jianu | 77c | 40.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…b606backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…1798backed Ryan Nijboer | 26c | 40.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Filip Jianu | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Ryan Nijboer | 36c | 34.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Filip Jianu | 72c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Filip Jianu | 69c | 21.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Filip Jianu | 60c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Filip Jianu | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Filip Jianu | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Ryan Nijboer vs Filip Jianuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nijboer vs JianuJianu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.