Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8ce5beceb54a22c80ab6b61e46f94e127480cc444e14067f6dd0f49ac13988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,498 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 75c | 5,656$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 4,152$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.16 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,289$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,069$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.27 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 1,056$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 967.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 908$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 853.04$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 31c | 852.21$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 28c | 718.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 35c | 579.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 530.72$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Yes | 27c | 472.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 26c | 445.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 72c | 347.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 30c | 335.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 241.7$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 20c | 236.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 25c | 224$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 25c | 210.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 74c | 201.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 75c | 192.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 190.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 30c | 167.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked No | 76c | 158.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 25c | 139.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 126.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 122.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 34c | 108.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 68c | 101.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 97.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…5228backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 22c | 92.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 19c | 81.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 26c | 74.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 76c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…36dabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 25c | 58.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 57.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 47.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 45.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 45.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 42.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 38.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 33.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 74c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 74c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 74c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…61efbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.