TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,504 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes38c23,331$8,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,827.842835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c13,000$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+69.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes37c7,325$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes38c6,970$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.9156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c6,300$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.8719345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0234…68a2backed Yes15c5,557$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No63c5,555$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No63c3,459$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.712055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c2,330$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.2514755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Yes8c2,300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c2,112$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Yes39c2,108$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c2,031$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes23c1,998$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.569336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes16c1,955$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.219431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Yes24c1,660$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No64c1,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.58139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes33c1,547$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.66560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes36c1,387$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.241643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,358$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Yes6c1,111$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No61c938$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.823844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes33c932.13$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.882138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c900$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3323537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No61c875$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.395558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd1…7ceabacked Yes31c765.54$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a7…a593backed Yes13c759.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes17c561.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.796344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c557.75$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes32c539.88$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes28c507.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes38c487.81$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.138327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes40c480.66$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c449.54$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c421.74$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes35c345.43$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes21c331.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.421010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes13c312.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed No64c312$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1e…fe89backed No66c296.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes35c285.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x454a…8d44backed Yes39c257.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Yes31c222.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No60c210$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes15c209.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.634645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c202.12$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0211752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c198.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c192.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked No70c186$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.86850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes39c181.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.65250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes22c173.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…9dd9backed No68c172.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes31c166$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.154247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes37c164.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.961752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes35c143.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.385651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes37c135.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.317048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes37c135.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.998747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed No63c135$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes28c132$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed No63c131.37$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes38c123.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes34c111.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes39c103.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x015a…0f35backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes37c98.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6058…1327backed Yes30c97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f3…229fbacked Yes31c96.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…1047backed Yes37c87.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c86.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No64c76.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes35c73.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c73.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.149714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes43c73.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.416969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes37c68.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.354843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked No64c67.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes21c66.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes38c63.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c61.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.337631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No63c59.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No62c55.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.