Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Eero Vasa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8984da769d6bbd6b410ef3a674200dfe3b8bd807a9274f7433f0dbf865360b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eero Vasaof Roberto Carballes Baena, Eero Vasa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eero Vasa | 10c | 7,562$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eero Vasa | 28c | 5,975$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 5,446$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.44 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eero Vasa | 26c | 4,007$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 2,921$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Eero Vasa | 23c | 2,422$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.63 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Eero Vasa | 20c | 1,720$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 1,464$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 1,371$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6b…99f5backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 73c | 1,016$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eero Vasa | 25c | 1,000$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Eero Vasa | 9c | 864.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.34 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 863.08$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Eero Vasa | 14c | 809.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.44 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 775.38$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Eero Vasa | 36c | 724.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 73c | 600$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.49 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Eero Vasa | 36c | 552.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.71 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Eero Vasa | 18c | 537.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.09 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eero Vasa | 20c | 421.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.3 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 50c | 400.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 76c | 395.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 64c | 371$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 369.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Eero Vasa | 37c | 359.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 347$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 64c | 292$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 291.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Eero Vasa | 42c | 270.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Eero Vasa | 18c | 249$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 73c | 209.59$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Eero Vasa | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 204.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Eero Vasa | 19c | 197.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 187.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 71c | 186$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Eero Vasa | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Eero Vasa | 29c | 176.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Eero Vasa | 10c | 148.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 138.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 118.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…f369backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 114.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Eero Vasa | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Eero Vasa | 33c | 103.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 102.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Eero Vasa | 22c | 93.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 40c | 92.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eero Vasa | 17c | 90.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Eero Vasa | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 54c | 88.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Eero Vasa | 18c | 81.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Eero Vasa | 18c | 78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 69c | 77.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eero Vasa | 26c | 74.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Eero Vasa | 24c | 72.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 57.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Eero Vasa | 55c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Eero Vasa | 32c | 53.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 25c | 52.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Eero Vasa | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Eero Vasa | 46c | 47.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Eero Vasa | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Eero Vasa | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 38.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 34.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…1efcbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 78c | 33.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Eero Vasa | 37c | 28.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 70c | 24.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Eero Vasathis page
- Baena vs. Vasa: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Baena vs. Vasa: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Eero Vasa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.