Tennis · resolved market
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Eero Vasa: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272a00ded1794b8e09ff6df0a559bf04ea3e939a4e1019f4511e6e09756eaef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,071 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1189…1860backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…99c5backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…2f49backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…0a47backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852c…31a8backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…7b2abacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…49f5backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…65dfbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…476fbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…c174backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…80c9backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…7490backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…fa7cbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…947ebacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…3fbdbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…6483backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…b4debacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…60eabacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…d8a1backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…0138backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4f53backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…b36dbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1edebacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…ecdcbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…1288backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…da39backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…3cf8backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…8019backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,732$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…d0a1backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…d604backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c09…74bfbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…4c68backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…1517backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…1babbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…35adbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…e35abacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…6f51backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…9291backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…6c49backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…d1cfbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,688$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…f0dfbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,686$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…0575backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…c36dbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…7340backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…d489backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…8cd4backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…9e61backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,685$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…ee88backed Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,677$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…36cbbacked Under 2.5 | 0c | 17,662$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Eero Vasa: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Baena vs. Vasa: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Baena vs. Vasa: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Kigali 2: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Eero VasaEero Vasa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.