TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Michigan Wolverines
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,424 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c16,238$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.83616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes10c7,070$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Ohio State Buckeyes5c6,453$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.541631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio State Buckeyes16c6,268$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.132,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c5,338$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.211,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Ohio State Buckeyes9c3,904$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.774761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes14c3,105$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Ohio State Buckeyes0c3,070$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio State Buckeyes21c3,009$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.724,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes11c2,652$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9516054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ohio State Buckeyes11c1,923$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5525829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c1,665$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.269711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes18c1,538$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.344,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Ohio State Buckeyes21c1,486$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.214047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ohio State Buckeyes17c1,324$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.092,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Ohio State Buckeyes13c1,280$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.462326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ohio State Buckeyes15c1,084$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0626945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10055532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Michigan Wolverines55c995.01$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.766440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Ohio State Buckeyes6c977.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c906$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.666630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c865.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.799341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Ohio State Buckeyes13c747.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0314027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c696.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes19c682.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.891,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c606.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.663534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines77c456.73$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.033,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c443.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.03728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8117…5f64backed Ohio State Buckeyes23c432.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Ohio State Buckeyes48c417.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c415.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Michigan Wolverines70c413.36$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.747346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Michigan Wolverines80c401.09$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Ohio State Buckeyes29c380.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.211,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83b…942ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes9c339.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c337.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c303.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c298.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.871,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c298.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.874825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Ohio State Buckeyes23c298.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6522640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ca…04b5backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c287.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes10c284.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan Wolverines75c270.31$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Ohio State Buckeyes15c252.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8415238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c232.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Michigan Wolverines54c229.72$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.814837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Michigan Wolverines77c217.39$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c207.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.836347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c199.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.622,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c199.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Michigan Wolverines71c195.64$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c187.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.629337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c166.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9331647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c160.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes32c155.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6232246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes12c149.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.931936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Ohio State Buckeyes19c146.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2415551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Michigan Wolverines68c145.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.79454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c143.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Ohio State Buckeyes19c143.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes19c130.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8711741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes11c129.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Ohio State Buckeyes25c125.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.586936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c124.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.947044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Ohio State Buckeyes12c121.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.533850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Ohio State Buckeyes42c118.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.573250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ohio State Buckeyes17c107.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes11c106.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7312846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed Ohio State Buckeyes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221060%6 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+89.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c99.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9823028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Ohio State Buckeyes11c99.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.966030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Ohio State Buckeyes15c99.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Ohio State Buckeyes36c88.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Ohio State Buckeyes17c82.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ohio State Buckeyes23c78.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd89b…e147backed Michigan Wolverines63c72.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55da…9ce4backed Ohio State Buckeyes30c66.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Ohio State Buckeyes34c58.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Michigan Wolverines55c54.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3335646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Michigan Wolverines74c52.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Michigan Wolverines79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.459554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Michigan Wolverines79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4510553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Michigan Wolverines79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.457553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Michigan Wolverines79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.455152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan Wolverines76c37.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Michigan Wolverines55c28.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5635338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed Michigan Wolverines69c24.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.535972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.