Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ba2cf4996283b23fa4b0bf842076b5c66da57757332bb756ac35826850663d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Michigan Wolverines, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 10,161$5,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 6,922$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 5,866$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 5,701$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.45 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 5,046$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.85 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 5,008$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 2,841$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 72c | 1,143$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.96 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.38 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 531.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 499.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 368.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 363.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 301.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 275.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines | 57c | 228.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan Wolverines | 52c | 223.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 44c | 209.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 205.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…9cffbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 177.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Michigan Wolverines | 60c | 167.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 79.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Michigan Wolverines | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines | 42c | 48.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 59c | 47.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 43.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 41.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 41c | 40.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Michigan Wolverines | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 37c | 35.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Michigan Wolverines | 66c | 35.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 35.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Michigan Wolverines | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 42c | 33.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 62c | 22.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 20.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 20.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 58c | 18.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)this page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 153.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 154.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 155.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 156.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-13.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.