Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4253bbc0aea4b29c00263087c886c512e93a568c2680208b3e57d49d1cdcc961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 5,206$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.52 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,005$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 20c | 1,517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 40c | 1,173$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 785.53$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.62 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 608.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 545.22$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 544.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 390.72$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 336.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…f68ebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 281$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 4c | 279.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 38c | 260.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 258.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 61c | 213.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 183.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 55c | 180.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 62c | 145.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Yes | 34c | 132.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 129.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 68c | 99.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 23c | 96.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 38c | 95.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 37c | 83.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 77.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…5df4backed Yes | 42c | 70.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 68.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 65.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 65.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 59.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 38c | 58.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…ca8cbacked Yes | 49c | 57.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 43c | 56.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 53.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 53.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 63c | 50.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 43.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 46c | 35.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 32.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed Yes | 39c | 32.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 68c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…746bbacked No | 60c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 75c | 27.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.