Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8514d026f9167b06e74a4784521f36612285dd62b2c6a1b15c0129f247da4051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,198 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 34c | 5,381$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 4,100$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.16 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 3,173$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,163$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.05 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 26c | 1,902$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 73c | 1,756$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 27c | 1,145$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.11 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 6c | 1,082$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 707.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed No | 9c | 679.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 615.43$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 39c | 614$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 31c | 491.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 453.89$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.37 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 421$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 355.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 36c | 276.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 261.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 249.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked Yes | 8c | 225.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 7c | 190.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 32c | 187.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…ddb1backed Yes | 7c | 175$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,246.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked No | 74c | 168.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 139.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 102.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 71.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 66.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 65.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 75c | 56.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 47c | 52.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 49.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 29c | 49.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 27c | 47.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked No | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…027ebacked Yes | 27c | 38.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 45c | 35.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 37c | 31.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…a8c6backed No | 70c | 30.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 25.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 21.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed No | 79c | 18.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.