Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79791ca7c16d1056fc9c906101f6d970fe4adbae3264c73c624af91e0ab22026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 14c | 4,753$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.56 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 4,384$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,589$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 16c | 2,500$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.14 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 48c | 1,381$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.9 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,193$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 604.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.97 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 25c | 477.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 377.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 360.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 340$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 31c | 326.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 315.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 256.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 210.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Yes | 24c | 83.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 23c | 74.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b8febacked Yes | 21c | 68.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 62c | 63.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 62c | 60.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 43.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 66c | 32.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed No | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.