Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209b64749ff9c2988c5d7e53065bd34525bc1665ee3bb4cf633543974f06e2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 13,944$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150.18 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked No | 27c | 5,762$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 44c | 4,345$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.03 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 4,175$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,991$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 3,016$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.1 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 25c | 2,436$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 2,228$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 7c | 1,845$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 40c | 1,465$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.77 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 44c | 1,023$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 5c | 990.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed No | 41c | 836.29$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 66c | 738.77$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Yes | 48c | 419.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 339.32$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 54c | 336.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 67c | 333.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 66c | 318.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 48c | 313.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 47c | 308$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 36c | 276.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 228.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 51c | 224.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 76c | 223.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 56c | 213$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 56c | 196.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 180.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…4a4abacked No | 32c | 178.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 73c | 170.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 162.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 56c | 158.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 72c | 144$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 141.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 78c | 128.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 59c | 121.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 115.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b8febacked Yes | 72c | 111.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +102%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 56c | 105.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 98.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 97.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yes | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 89.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Yes | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 21c | 80.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 32c | 76.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 30c | 72.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 72c | 70.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 29c | 69.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 50c | 63.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 63.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 59.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 34c | 45.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 42.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed No | 56c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 73c | 30.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 30.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…dbe1backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 49c | 24.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…24ffbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 49c | 20.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 75c | 16.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 66c | 16.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.