Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2efc77aa8fcac1ff7b572e94e5b6514aca28b12bac7e506ae43f7206e2e31c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Under | 58c | 6,931$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,221$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 2,002$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 42c | 1,568$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.44 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 36c | 1,563$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 42c | 1,489$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.76 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 1,207$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 37c | 1,021$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 36c | 781.25$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 27c | 724.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 693.16$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 39c | 555.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 441.32$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 77c | 274.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 241.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 40c | 230.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 195.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 193$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 180.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 57c | 161$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 62c | 158.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 42c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 149.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 147.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 42c | 114.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 109.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 54c | 66.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 44c | 65.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7f8abacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 28c | 49.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…c3f0backed Under | 79c | 31.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 63c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 59c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…09fcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 19.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)CS Marítimo won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)CS Marítimo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.