TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,590 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes25c10,001$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf448…64cabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c4,713$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c4,117$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.4637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c3,712$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c2,300$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c2,102$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.922152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c1,213$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28211725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c736.63$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2612957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No73c684.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes27c549.81$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c500$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.27060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes21c499.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.513246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c431.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes27c426.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c416.34$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4510938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes7c349.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No77c310.88$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes9c282.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes27c274.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes9c212.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes35c168.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594139%16 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No60c166.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.63554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes39c156.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c153.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c148.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c130.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No76c125.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.049558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x422f…da1abacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c121.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c118.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c114.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes18c109$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c101.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3723342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes27c98.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef8f…78febacked Yes20c91.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked No73c88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No59c87.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.372152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c72.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes42c71.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c62.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes23c62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.145261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes31c61.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.268434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No73c59.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.984858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Yes24c57.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c56.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17fb…5d28backed No73c49.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed No61c46.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No77c45.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.382065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No77c40.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba54…b009backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No59c33.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8711753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No57c31.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6322854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c31.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No73c21.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.710960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No73c19.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No76c19.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.561361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c15.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba6…13a3backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.