Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b22907bfa35d2d284f87fae63e7b88a939f863634f6f2ba7427368b916c57c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2999…277dbacked Over | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 3,103$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.33 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.95 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 1,600$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 1,488$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.19 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,305$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 44c | 997.51$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 69c | 650$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 624.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 55c | 535.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 530.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 45c | 427.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 389.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 361.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 45c | 321.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 300.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 70c | 287.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 57c | 237.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 78c | 198.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 179.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 137.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 123.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 45c | 113.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 56c | 102.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 45c | 86.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 56c | 60.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 72c | 55.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 48c | 50.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 61c | 50.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Over | 55c | 44.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 42.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 56c | 29.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 45c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 60c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.