Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3014e16ae3ab4007f5359ece21f59fb7f09eb502d8404d1370b52734d1abedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,574$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 16c | 1,216$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 904.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.73 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 629.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 24c | 378.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 19c | 281.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 16c | 245.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 241.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 77c | 239$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 213.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 171.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 78c | 157.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 22c | 126$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 124.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 21c | 94.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 75c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.