Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae69fca5f574d9780fb675a5d47a55649f04c60b9d5de4a4185bf07097d02b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derby County FCof Coventry City FC, Derby County FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Derby County FC | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Coventry City FC | 34c | 1,186$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 624.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Derby County FC | 65c | 424.96$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Coventry City FC | 23c | 395$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Coventry City FC | 33c | 375.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Derby County FC | 70c | 285.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Coventry City FC | 37c | 270.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Coventry City FC | 35c | 236.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Derby County FC | 73c | 186.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 182.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Coventry City FC | 25c | 163.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 153.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Coventry City FC | 34c | 153.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Derby County FC | 69c | 142.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Coventry City FC | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Derby County FC | 65c | 111.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Coventry City FC | 42c | 105.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 102.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Coventry City FC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Derby County FC | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 56.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Derby County FC | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Coventry City FC | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Coventry City FC | 33c | 45.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Coventry City FC | 34c | 44.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Derby County FC | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Derby County FC | 61c | 38.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Derby County FC | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed Derby County FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.