Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee7088647ff90823f8ca5276ea2260c6ffa11c248191718b48e63d7e20d3f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,609$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 966.12$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.3 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 69c | 908.24$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 35c | 808.57$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 66c | 491.88$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 414.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 66c | 409.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 387.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 324.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 29c | 319.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 189.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 31c | 162.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 145.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 34c | 119.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…c82dbacked Under | 79c | 103.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…0504backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 65c | 93.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 69c | 86.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Over | 30c | 86.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 32c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 28c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 63.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 47c | 52.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 54c | 52.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 52.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 32c | 51.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 69c | 50.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 44c | 44.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 32.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 71c | 24.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked Under | 68c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 67c | 20.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 69c | 17.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.