Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfab4b32ccb52f1216c5f45edddfa4669cf02979225b36f8ceb0c0f24b91cef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 3,090$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,889$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 1,432$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.33 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 11c | 998.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 989.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 962$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 835$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 23c | 603.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 570.07$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 471.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 32c | 352.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 210.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 206.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 59c | 199.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…7f68backed Yes | 7c | 161.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 22c | 156.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 144.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Yes | 35c | 129.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 21c | 127.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 35c | 115.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 110.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 26c | 94.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked No | 78c | 94.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 91.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 79.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 21c | 77.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 71.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 71.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 75c | 70.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 71c | 70.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 65c | 48.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…c8a3backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…83d5backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.