TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof TDK, HAVU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,749 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU46c5,537$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.257,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked TDK55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9975356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed TDK54c2,623$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.812752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HAVU43c2,002$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.813,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed TDK56c1,820$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.5843954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked HAVU16c1,500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.456137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed TDK60c1,324$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.1792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TDK53c1,217$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.955,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU39c1,009$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.096,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU19c999.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed HAVU28c944.79$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1617945.3%81 W · 98 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HAVU19c933.05$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.765,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HAVU46c923.34$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.143,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked TDK80c810.64$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0121939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked TDK70c805.26$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.842,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked HAVU36c799.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TDK72c679.32$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.014,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75b…50b0backed HAVU30c674.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed TDK54c663.93$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed TDK50c600$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30140234.6%139 W · 263 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed HAVU44c591.93$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.861,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed HAVU25c534.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4483643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed HAVU46c517.24$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.961,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed TDK60c507.17$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.877647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked TDK63c473.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked HAVU43c402.48$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.842,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed HAVU28c382$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7214448.6%70 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…520abacked TDK60c347.83$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.134254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed HAVU30c320$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5429244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e3…071bbacked HAVU20c292.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3187…9476backed TDK55c267.66$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed HAVU31c263$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked HAVU28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e92…a64abacked HAVU26c245.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed TDK55c222.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.053259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d94…69b4backed HAVU18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked HAVU29c210$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0149745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed HAVU18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed HAVU29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5849843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…dd06backed HAVU18c183$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked HAVU34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4348948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed TDK56c176.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8665254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed HAVU33c160$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0124747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed TDK62c157.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2110651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed HAVU20c156$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.217837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed TDK51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.513847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked TDK73c136.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HAVU19c130.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed HAVU38c121$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5228046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked HAVU42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked HAVU44c112.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked HAVU28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked TDK54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4695642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HAVU19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HAVU18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked HAVU50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b3…98eabacked TDK59c98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed TDK44c97.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7235033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed TDK69c95.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.792,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed HAVU25c90.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5533950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed HAVU19c85.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.231735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bb…6d18backed HAVU15c81.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed TDK52c79.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.061,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked TDK66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769457.4%54 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked HAVU43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed HAVU46c69.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked HAVU20c66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed TDK68c65.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7749376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed TDK54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8132951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked TDK56c63.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed HAVU40c58.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed TDK49c56.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6281551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed TDK56c52.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.135750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed TDK56c50.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.396251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked HAVU20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked TDK72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,27871.5%914 W · 364 L+3.6wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed TDK50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked HAVU46c40.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.681,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed TDK58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.853055.5%294 W · 236 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e7…c0fdbacked HAVU40c37.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961f…e75dbacked TDK59c33.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed TDK79c31.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7352755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7764…8747backed HAVU34c31.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed TDK58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb64e…319abacked HAVU48c28.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked TDK75c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed TDK54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.237339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed TDK57c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.535164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TDK62c16.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TDK78c14.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.32,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.