Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a4713752923fdb6a84d775143295ab53919c4d464fc3d26c6a7c587ca8638f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 35c | 2,003$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.08 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,028$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 535.66$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 496.12$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 48c | 407.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 49c | 313$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb138…419bbacked Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 200.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 147.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 13c | 133.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 123.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 79c | 63.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 61.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 67c | 53.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 36.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 35c | 33.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 65c | 26.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…2d62backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Under | 72c | 20.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 69c | 17.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 65c | 15.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 65c | 15.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: Hamarkameratene O/U 2.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Hamarkameratene won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.