Mls · resolved market

Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c02125a05732c44a506ff4e2bc07f6d511095a2ba9770f8a1eaa97fcd07f847

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,230 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under	37c	38,910$14,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,525.12	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over	63c	21,000$13,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,230	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	63c	5,484$3,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,457.88	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked Over	66c	3,796$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	63c	2,023$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.28	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over	63c	1,992$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.31per pick	52cpaid	-63%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under	40c	1,317$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.85	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	63c	1,180$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.56	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	60c	1,100$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over	63c	761$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.43	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over	63c	714.29$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	51c	703.43$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.69	871	54.6%476 W · 395 L	+34.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Over	73c	686.03$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	36c	623.87$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.45	777	51.7%402 W · 375 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	34c	571.72$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.5	251	49%123 W · 128 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under	44c	546.2$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.82	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over	63c	483.51$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	63c	419$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.97	206	48.5%100 W · 106 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under	38c	409.69$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.06	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+7.5wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+92.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	64c	354.24$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.69	580	43.6%253 W · 327 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	63c	316.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over	63c	300$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	36c	250$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	63c	242.06$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.5	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	63c	206.09$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.83	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	37c	190$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.7	557	50.1%279 W · 278 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over	63c	180$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-48%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	33c	180$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.6	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	37c	176.79$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.76	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+12.1wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	37c	152.53$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.64	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over	65c	152.22$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over	63c	151.1$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over	63c	119$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.97	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Over	48c	97.28$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.89	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over	63c	90.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	36c	86.9$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.83	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	52c	82.26$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.78	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	35c	76$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	63c	66.92$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Over	64c	60.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under	35c	58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.7	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over	63c	56.37$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	35c	55$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	63c	44.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.14	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under	36c	42.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	97	58.8%57 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	40c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under	55c	39.95$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	99	65.7%65 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over	63c	39.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Over	63c	39.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	34c	33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	128	49.2%63 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	71c	32.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.69	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over	59c	24.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Over	64c	23.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	46c	22.97$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+4.5wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over	63c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	63c	19.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over	63c	19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…4bdbbacked Over	65c	16.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	78c	15.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.38	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event