Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74daff85e9f7b701be4f9223c8996b7425b1c5e62f362153b59c43862c4a882f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 59c | 89,641$52,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,763.29 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 41c | 28,982$11,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,882.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 41c | 9,719$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 8,690$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.52 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 41c | 5,883$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.03 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 41c | 4,634$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 41c | 2,701$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 41c | 2,442$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 1,587$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.39 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Over | 52c | 918.84$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 40c | 900$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 780.97$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 41c | 739.15$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 46c | 732.19$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 41c | 675$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 30c | 530.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.17 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 17c | 487.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 41c | 350.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 41c | 348.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 341$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 62c | 296.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 59c | 280.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 44c | 274.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 240.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 222.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 208.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 194$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 166.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 164.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 41c | 145.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 41c | 141.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 41c | 94.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 41c | 94.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 62c | 80.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 41c | 72.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 41c | 71.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 70.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 71c | 65.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 41c | 65.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 52c | 55.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 42.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 41.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 41c | 35.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 40c | 25.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Over | 41c | 25.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Over | 41c | 24.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5this page
- Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.