La Liga · resolved market
Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4000f86ef450f5766720fba54f64e4e30a9cfdbd3dda056c8897cb1649a50e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 4,799$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.59 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,473$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.78 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 15c | 3,120$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.12 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 23c | 1,746$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 58c | 1,297$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.28 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 9c | 1,174$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…8670backed Over | 20c | 845.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…df9ebacked Under | 80c | 845.31$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 59c | 799.75$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.78 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 738.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 20c | 727.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 42c | 715.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 14c | 573.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +29.7wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 19c | 519.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 487.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 18c | 370.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 10c | 333.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 15c | 281.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 15c | 231.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 65c | 229.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 34c | 213.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 184.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 17c | 184.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 29c | 169.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 71c | 140.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 16c | 124.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 58c | 119.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 25c | 117.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 15c | 104.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 56c | 101.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 18c | 101.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 31c | 93.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 62c | 87.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 71.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 35c | 70.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 35c | 70.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Under | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 40.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 63c | 34.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 41c | 32.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Over | 38c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…1826backed Over | 60c | 29.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 46c | 28.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 50c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 21.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 64c | 20.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 70c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5this page
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5)Córdoba CF won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.