La Liga · resolved market
Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ed71795bd5f24a86f764f5a4c942eaa9a3cb66d8d7878a2624b880b1e88b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 78c | 1,511$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 1,500$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 1,315$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…c444backed Under | 24c | 848.82$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…d151backed Over | 76c | 848.82$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 629.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 446.3$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 22c | 379.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 8c | 321.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 273.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 77c | 242.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 77c | 229.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 15c | 225.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 78c | 215.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 17c | 179.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 78c | 175.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 80c | 146.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 20c | 134.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 78c | 133.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 116.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 91.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 82.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 78c | 38.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 79c | 27.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…fcedbacked Over | 78c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Over | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5this page
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5)Córdoba CF won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.