La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona FC vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff526ad13601f5233d4dcfb8377750143c34e749b46b928176755fc509a25d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 1,721$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.11 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,247$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.09 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed No | 76c | 1,160$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 34c | 838.02$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 74c | 405.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 350.35$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 53c | 346.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 76c | 316.33$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 281.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 65c | 246.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 191.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 175.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 25c | 168$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 131$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 45c | 112.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 69c | 97.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 53c | 97.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 36c | 93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 83.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 72.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 24c | 69.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 34c | 65.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 65c | 59.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 57.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 56.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…86acbacked Yes | 80c | 54.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 34c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 39.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 24.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 20.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 77c | 19.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona FC vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.