La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6896eeda97459be7d57649067493530893ced642495e1ad117d59daff87f1aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,351$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,238$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…451fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,082$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Yes | 15c | 817.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 769.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.14 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 15c | 615.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 62c | 590.25$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 538.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 57c | 444.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 15c | 398$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 48c | 337.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 10c | 327.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 293.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.53 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 12c | 207.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked No | 37c | 179.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 51c | 113.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 17c | 110.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 27c | 108.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 54c | 104.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 60c | 99.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 99.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 53c | 95.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 87.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 56c | 86.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 42c | 85.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 52c | 78.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yes | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 57c | 73.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 56c | 66.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 54c | 51.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…d2a0backed Yes | 65c | 44.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 54c | 41.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Yes | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…96fbbacked Yes | 72c | 38.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 56c | 35.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 59c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Girona FC vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.