Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62a5768ecc1d539892cff5aa8072db66cf44f8aaf13f23a7640d84c3da3e2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,403 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204e…8d08backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 8,250$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.5 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 4,516$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.23 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 21c | 4,512$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 15c | 4,074$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.92 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.73 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 2c | 3,706$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 79c | 2,022$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.42 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,996$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 75c | 1,389$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 79c | 1,275$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 42c | 1,240$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 1,176$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,060$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.66 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.59 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 841.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 79c | 470$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 444.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 350.09$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 4c | 315.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 159.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 16c | 144.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 136.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 128.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 128.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 20c | 115.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 18c | 114.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 77c | 109.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 79c | 109$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 50c | 106.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 28c | 88.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked No | 69c | 86.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 83.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 63c | 79.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 28c | 68.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…96f2backed Yes | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 72c | 48.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 40c | 47.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 40.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 41c | 28.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…bcdebacked No | 55c | 27.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 60c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 69cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 69c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-20?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.