South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3891bffd0b078514b5a92ebfdb8147fbe28fc57a2860d4ae28f12ac433831e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 9,655$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.13 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 2,005$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.16 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,613$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 10c | 846.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 17c | 827.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 22c | 602.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 77c | 596.86$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 78c | 591.03$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 18c | 521$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 506.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 23c | 498$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 467.22$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 441.44$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 14c | 307.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 57c | 283.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 6c | 249.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 49c | 227.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 26c | 203.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 198.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 23c | 185.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 10c | 185.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 65c | 173.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 146.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 115.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed No | 80c | 112.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 23c | 110.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 12c | 96.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 15c | 95.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 11c | 91.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 88.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 18c | 79.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 69c | 74.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 32c | 74.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 55c | 73.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 66.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 43c | 56.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 77c | 45.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 40.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 40.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 41c | 36.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 78cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 38c | 26.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 77c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…9bdebacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.