South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716a7112262f5c908e947ec83c7c5807aaa5512de486ba219c6d66bc55cc3bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 14,306$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.92 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 12,362$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,456.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 57c | 6,175$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.15 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 4,787$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.17 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 3,551$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.57 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,998$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 9c | 814.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 70c | 648.33$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 35c | 638.4$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 45c | 448.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 387.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 40c | 321.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 40c | 316.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes | 31c | 305.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 223.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 27c | 213.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 69c | 186.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 6c | 168.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 24c | 165.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 17c | 165.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed No | 36c | 140.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 41c | 139.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 117.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 42c | 116.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 37c | 110.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 64.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 58c | 61.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 38c | 55.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Yes | 28c | 48.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…e187backed No | 35c | 46.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 23c | 45.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 26c | 44.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 54c | 43.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 37c | 38.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 37c | 36.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 52c | 36.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 29c | 35.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 32.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 59c | 26.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 53c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.