South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a463544c70058a44a2ed56bb3174f183475d2dca4a6b02a8b550833e382f47b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 4,684$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.22 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 71c | 3,511$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.63 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 3,342$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 2,590$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 2,372$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.7 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 2,187$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.24 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,370$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 39c | 1,157$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.91 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 1,094$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 49c | 921.15$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 805.38$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 678.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 630.68$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 41c | 530.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 500.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 493.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 455.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 29c | 416.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 47c | 384$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 62c | 335.66$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 61c | 275.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 272.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 30c | 230$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Yes | 70c | 220.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 208.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 207.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 47c | 185.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 176.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 38c | 169.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 59c | 165.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 56c | 156.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 143.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 59c | 142.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No | 78c | 134$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 24c | 128.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 63c | 118.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 76c | 112.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 54c | 111.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 29c | 111.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 29c | 100.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 58c | 97.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 71c | 89.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 69c | 87.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 34c | 86.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed No | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Yes | 47c | 80.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 79.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 68c | 73.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 72.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 68.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 71c | 65.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 71c | 62.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 61c | 56.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 56.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 70c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…ec64backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…666dbacked Yes | 67c | 47.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 42.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 37.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 53c | 28.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…51a8backed No | 55c | 27.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 71c | 26.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 41c | 24.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…42debacked Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 71c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.