Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8900be200b976b1ed02c2bb9754339c5a3381f479cebb08b434e3ac7cd3eeb2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes | 23c | 12,238$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 5,173$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.05 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 3,760$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.77 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,770$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.86 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 1,306$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 79c | 722$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 578.78$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 556.34$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 62c | 509.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 28c | 452.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 17c | 405.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 388.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 380.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 78c | 316.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 28c | 296.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 262.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 229.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Yes | 40c | 204.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 196.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes | 39c | 185.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 63c | 182.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 63c | 182.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 171.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 171.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 131.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 70c | 127.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…53cbbacked Yes | 17c | 114.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked No | 73c | 107.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 63c | 87.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 83.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 71c | 77.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 76.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 71.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 40c | 67.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed No | 78c | 52.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 39c | 49.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 62c | 39.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…93f0backed Yes | 49c | 35.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 31.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 65c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.