South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5abeda0318dc2ecd1c7e0c2a2f15b1882cf66eada7b9eb22cf8c4821d4ea8d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 50c | 29,441$14,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,855.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 18,744$9,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,562.65 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 6,449$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,159$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 47c | 442.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 48c | 360.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.03 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 47c | 299.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 5c | 298.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 51c | 248.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 48c | 159.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 84.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 48c | 83.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 48c | 63.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 51c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 51c | 46.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed Over | 54c | 41.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 50c | 33.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 25.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 52c | 25.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…39a9backed Under | 51c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 21.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.