Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4eca101bf33788a6924897687c00dd3539c9577281e57b2c68dce3c9cbad22f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 49c | 20,378$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 10,891$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,643.65 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 9,569$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.93 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 5,013$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.65 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,567$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,539$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 2,971$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.62 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 1,198$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.32 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 70c | 1,118$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 3c | 730.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 5cpaid | +1,112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 32c | 672.64$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 538.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 39c | 481.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 51c | 418.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 378.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 301.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 51c | 301.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 38c | 296.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 292.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 60c | 247.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 61c | 237.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 207.39$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Over | 38c | 181.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 57c | 171$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 168.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 47c | 133.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Under | 61c | 129.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 94.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 46c | 88.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 88.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 46c | 82.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 36c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 62c | 61.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 61c | 53.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 33c | 52.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 50.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Over | 51c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 45c | 41.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 26c | 39.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 62c | 37.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 38c | 33.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 24.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.