Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe16d6536ac4ff406a6dbddd7a9bcd234b0635610f736d7b89044337d5752991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hellas Verona FCof Torino FC, Hellas Verona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Torino FC | 23c | 2,093$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Torino FC | 23c | 1,196$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Torino FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Torino FC | 23c | 999.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hellas Verona FC | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 540.19$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 474.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Torino FC | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Torino FC | 24c | 335.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Torino FC | 22c | 317.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hellas Verona FC | 70c | 308.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Torino FC | 31c | 282.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 207.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Torino FC | 22c | 199$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 196.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 196.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 196.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 196.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 180.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 179.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 179.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 179.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Torino FC | 19c | 159.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Torino FC | 55c | 89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Torino FC | 19c | 87.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Torino FC | 23c | 74.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 59.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Torino FC | 24c | 55.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Torino FC | 21c | 49.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Hellas Verona FC | 35c | 40.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 37.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Hellas Verona FC | 78c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Hellas Verona FC | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hellas Verona FC | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.