Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c44460c37ba07f742db3c1afeafc0591c6842953b72eeb18a774db27b09962d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 59c | 7,270$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 6,974$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.7 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 7c | 4,925$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 5cpaid | +1,112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 37c | 3,473$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 2,742$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.6 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 911.17$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 64c | 815.65$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 50c | 771.94$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.87 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 751.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 45c | 485.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 327.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 304.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 245.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 23c | 220.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 215.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 151.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 19c | 150.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 129.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 32c | 104.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 82.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 79.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 79.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 38c | 68.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 51.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 67c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 37c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 37c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 37c | 43.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 69c | 40.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 37c | 38.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 37c | 35.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 37c | 34.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 43c | 33.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 37c | 31.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 38c | 30.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 39c | 30.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 29.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Over | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 60c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.