Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf637311d61527d5d9cfb340f3a8b0dd086197dc01983753ccbe8b5986428e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 8c | 7,125$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 840.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 77c | 573.41$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 73c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 30c | 121.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 18c | 89.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 51.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 50.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 31c | 47.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 58c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.