CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7e7deee0ac23d1e87c08bd42f82be288ced739ce56424b0beea2eed2e3b3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed BIG | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed GamerLegion | 28c | 9,611$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,919.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed GamerLegion | 28c | 5,816$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 5,159$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.01 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 61c | 3,220$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 43c | 1,876$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 70c | 1,868$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 57c | 1,174$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed GamerLegion | 30c | 1,030$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.26 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 56c | 949.58$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 920.87$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.36 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BIG | 69c | 800.68$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BIG | 68c | 639.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed GamerLegion | 34c | 590.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.53 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed BIG | 45c | 529.39$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BIG | 59c | 500$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed GamerLegion | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed GamerLegion | 35c | 483.49$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.49 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed BIG | 46c | 449.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 434.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed BIG | 38c | 415.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GamerLegion | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed GamerLegion | 55c | 358.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked GamerLegion | 62c | 323.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BIG | 51c | 322.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed GamerLegion | 32c | 316.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed GamerLegion | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked BIG | 70c | 281.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BIG | 63c | 258$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed GamerLegion | 28c | 244.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BIG | 62c | 234.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 222.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 212.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed BIG | 72c | 199.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed GamerLegion | 55c | 182.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed GamerLegion | 32c | 166.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 159.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed GamerLegion | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BIG | 69c | 144.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GamerLegion | 28c | 140.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed GamerLegion | 39c | 139.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…1873backed GamerLegion | 30c | 135.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed GamerLegion | 28c | 126.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked GamerLegion | 74c | 119.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 66c | 101.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed GamerLegion | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed BIG | 71c | 98.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed BIG | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed GamerLegion | 40c | 92.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed GamerLegion | 33c | 82.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 70c | 77.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked BIG | 46c | 70.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked BIG | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed GamerLegion | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked GamerLegion | 31c | 62.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BIG | 56c | 61.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed GamerLegion | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed GamerLegion | 31c | 56.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed BIG | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed BIG | 67c | 44.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed GamerLegion | 39c | 36.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked BIG | 71c | 35.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed BIG | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked BIG | 67c | 34.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed BIG | 71c | 28.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed BIG | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 54c | 24.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BIG | 70c | 15.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BIG | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1GamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.