TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c2,290$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.151,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under43c2,234$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.833138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c2,127$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under41c1,581$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,550$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4848357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under49c1,006$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c752.8$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.573647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under72c700.03$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0215667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under43c697.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.131573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over57c575.12$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c558.63$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.771,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under39c456.49$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16421444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over56c325.36$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.165942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under56c307.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over57c305.68$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4425554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.032045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under41c287.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under41c269.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4219026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over61c244.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9412254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1876…2d3abacked Under39c237.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1e…756dbacked Over59c209.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over44c205.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.194245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over51c197.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.087530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4111027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f3…1d85backed Under43c167.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over59c157.9$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1f…5dfabacked Under41c152$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ef…fee6backed Under43c147$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e3…b2c8backed Under43c136$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Over59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.593363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0278…27c6backed Under43c133$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under38c132$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under43c131.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.734056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under38c112.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c109.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.322,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over33c100.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.647532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3730836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over58c92.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2714948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c91.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over59c91.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.532972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6523142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over63c79.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.366358.7%37 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.024641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.023151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.024946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4625…f7f6backed Under29c77.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under40c73.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.543357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.193354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf04…cc65backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.977240.3%29 W · 43 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4190…ad59backed Over58c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under44c65.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.787857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under40c64.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.837144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Under39c62.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…cb0ebacked Over58c56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc645…f2bdbacked Under43c55.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…f8a1backed Over58c54.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c54.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe752…86d5backed Over58c50.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…2b2dbacked Over58c48.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76df…39d1backed Under43c48.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed7…ceffbacked Under43c48.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.245952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1570…a4efbacked Over57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over28c47.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4a…ced8backed Under43c47.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d5…aec3backed Under43c47.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd927…9875backed Under43c46.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7d…c01abacked Under43c46.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d06…0066backed Over58c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…9d73backed Over59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+178.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.661250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c6…db98backed Over58c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over58c42.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9617553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…f76ebacked Over59c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over57c41.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6372…0decbacked Over58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25fa…42a4backed Over58c40.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.