Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d526fb144549707b6038a5c0510ebee66e32d4fe7faf20daf7bcc9d5121074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,590$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,107$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 58c | 1,025$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 530$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 41c | 339.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 230.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 215.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 214.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 143.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…5902backed Yes | 38c | 141.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 40c | 126.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 23c | 113.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 41c | 103.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 85.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 83.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 62c | 81.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 77.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 66.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 39c | 64.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 43c | 46.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 61c | 46.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 61c | 44.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes | 42c | 44.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…6075backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Yes | 41c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 34.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…1c3dbacked No | 58c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…decbbacked Yes | 43c | 32.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…fb65backed Yes | 43c | 23.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7099backed No | 58c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 61c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.