Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3233e8f6bc04b4cd9e80cfd72aaf6604cd5df30f1d20ff065f9a1c2c4b3630c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 3,614$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked Under | 1c | 2,319$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 2,052$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.42 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,046$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.63 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 1,827$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.39 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 32c | 1,248$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.55 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 982.53$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 750$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 518.92$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 39c | 382.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 37c | 357.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 37c | 355.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 35c | 308.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 65c | 299.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 294.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 249.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 246.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Over | 35c | 213.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Over | 35c | 207.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 61c | 202.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 197.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 61c | 178.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 164.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 66c | 150.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…06febacked Under | 66c | 110.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 61c | 107.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 98.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 97.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 92.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Under | 23c | 91.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 81.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 62c | 80.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 67c | 71.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 62c | 67.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 66.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 36c | 55.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 35c | 52.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 70c | 42.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 41.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…9645backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 34c | 35.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 35.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 35c | 30.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 36c | 29.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…509fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 61c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5this page
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.