Fifa International · resolved market
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1667cc0ae749a4578fae5321e369196b49c4b403d79e97b7bae97f55817f9592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 22c | 981.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 55c | 836$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 15c | 674.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…17c6backed Under | 23c | 506.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…856abacked Over | 77c | 506.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 349.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 300.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 249.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 151.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 78c | 120.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 107.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 101.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 64c | 95.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 95.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 20c | 91.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 87.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 80.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Under | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 57c | 70.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 18c | 64.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…0409backed Over | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 64c | 35.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 31.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 80c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 23.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 79c | 23.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 79c | 15.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5this page
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.