TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Western Michiganof Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,424 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Michigan38c4,951$1,881 inLost-$1,881.3852641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan62c4,562$2,826 inWon+$1,735.9452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan59c3,807$2,234 inWon+$1,572.152,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Eastern Michigan41c3,500$1,435 inLost-$1,4351145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Eastern Michigan41c2,341$948 inLost-$9481,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Western Michigan62c1,375$853 inWon+$522.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Western Michigan62c910$564 inWon+$345.864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eastern Michigan38c736$280 inLost-$279.9349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Western Michigan53c267.3$142 inWon+$125.6165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Eastern Michigan36c200$72 inLost-$7214254.9%78 W · 64 L+12.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Eastern Michigan48c119$57 inLost-$57.1239954.1%216 W · 183 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Michigan62c100$62 inWon+$389444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…d83abacked Western Michigan53c94.33$50 inWon+$44.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Western Michigan59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.752055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Western Michigan62c53.76$33 inWon+$20.4363243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Western Michigan62c50$31 inWon+$194548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Western Michigan61c42$26 inWon+$16.387660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4c0…95afbacked Western Michigan58c22$13 inWon+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.