College Football · resolved market
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd414fd8d873f99a539ce1f2855d6721aad009b0e75ec6b03606cc6dfece41b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 62c | 1,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.7 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 1,311$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,240$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.99 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 669$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.05 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 642$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 61c | 278$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 178$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5this page
- Spread: Western Michigan (-10.5)Eastern Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-5.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-9.5)Western Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern MichiganWestern Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: 1H MoneylineWestern Michigan won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 46.5Over won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 47.5Over won
- Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.