Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fbad06102862534d18c3fb69c627669094c113ca5b28b595df86ef51d50a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof Boise State Broncos, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC Trojans | 74c | 3,570$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.8 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State Broncos | 30c | 3,484$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Boise State Broncos | 33c | 3,406$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.24 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC Trojans | 69c | 1,996$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Boise State Broncos | 33c | 1,505$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 1,491$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.19 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans | 69c | 1,383$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked USC Trojans | 70c | 1,332$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.21 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC Trojans | 68c | 1,210$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Boise State Broncos | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked USC Trojans | 73c | 658.37$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Boise State Broncos | 59c | 603.04$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos | 38c | 562.4$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed USC Trojans | 61c | 551.22$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Boise State Broncos | 31c | 536.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…2519backed Boise State Broncos | 20c | 512.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans | 79c | 500.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans | 70c | 457.75$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed USC Trojans | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed Boise State Broncos | 36c | 377.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Boise State Broncos | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked USC Trojans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans | 61c | 289.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Boise State Broncos | 30c | 266.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans | 67c | 262.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed USC Trojans | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…db3bbacked Boise State Broncos | 23c | 209.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Boise State Broncos | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed USC Trojans | 69c | 161.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed USC Trojans | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans | 69c | 150.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed USC Trojans | 77c | 142$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked USC Trojans | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Boise State Broncos | 36c | 108.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Boise State Broncos | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed USC Trojans | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 82.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed USC Trojans | 52c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 35c | 73.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…27efbacked Boise State Broncos | 35c | 68.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Boise State Broncos | 27c | 65.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 63.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked USC Trojans | 57c | 54.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd905…2394backed Boise State Broncos | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Boise State Broncos | 49c | 48.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…2b5cbacked USC Trojans | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…cd13backed USC Trojans | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b1b4backed Boise State Broncos | 28c | 42.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed USC Trojans | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed USC Trojans | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed USC Trojans | 62c | 39.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed USC Trojans | 61c | 35.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…cab9backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…e2c5backed USC Trojans | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed USC Trojans | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed USC Trojans | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojansthis page
- Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-4.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-5.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-6.5)Boise State Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.