Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5609bd4f6a47806a19b2663966fa673cd5133d1260d61004e79ab3f54e2435e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Arizona Wildcats | 41c | 5,080$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona Wildcats | 30c | 4,670$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Connecticut Huskies | 64c | 2,350$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.91 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Connecticut Huskies | 68c | 2,000$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Connecticut Huskies | 66c | 1,755$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 1,450$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Arizona Wildcats | 29c | 1,040$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Connecticut Huskies | 51c | 1,037$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Connecticut Huskies | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Connecticut Huskies | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 845.15$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Connecticut Huskies | 54c | 707.45$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Arizona Wildcats | 29c | 690$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.9 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 560$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 499.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 417.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.39 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Huskies | 57c | 407.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Huskies | 34c | 369$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Connecticut Huskies | 72c | 360$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Arizona Wildcats | 63c | 306.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Connecticut Huskies | 45c | 285.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Connecticut Huskies | 45c | 268.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d8d1backed Connecticut Huskies | 33c | 250.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Wildcats | 34c | 247$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 199.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona Wildcats | 30c | 194.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Connecticut Huskies | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Connecticut Huskies | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arizona Wildcats | 38c | 131.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Connecticut Huskies | 34c | 115.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Connecticut Huskies | 65c | 99.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Connecticut Huskies | 72c | 86.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Connecticut Huskies | 54c | 79.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Connecticut Huskies | 63c | 71.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Connecticut Huskies | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Arizona Wildcats | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arizona Wildcats | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Arizona Wildcats | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 41c | 51.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Arizona Wildcats | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Arizona Wildcats | 36c | 46.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Connecticut Huskies | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Connecticut Huskies | 66c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona Wildcats | 41c | 39.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 36.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Connecticut Huskies | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Connecticut Huskies | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Connecticut Huskies | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 70c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…2d2ebacked Connecticut Huskies | 61c | 22.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…bc59backed Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.