CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa6b804f272f9b4d80dd14dc6ccbb7f7ce4f78a6bc92130fcaf5d759178d063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof BIG, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Leo Team | 29c | 8,028$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.92 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed BIG | 31c | 4,448$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked BIG | 57c | 3,916$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.69 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed BIG | 3c | 2,577$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 61c | 2,524$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Leo Team | 27c | 2,496$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.78 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Leo Team | 80c | 1,907$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked BIG | 71c | 1,612$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.11 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked BIG | 50c | 1,375$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.05 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed BIG | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BIG | 59c | 1,345$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leo Team | 54c | 1,178$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 29c | 1,163$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked BIG | 71c | 1,092$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.57 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed BIG | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Leo Team | 44c | 918.05$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.48 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed BIG | 71c | 756.51$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked BIG | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed BIG | 41c | 661$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…719bbacked Leo Team | 74c | 540.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked BIG | 73c | 504.34$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed BIG | 34c | 500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed BIG | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed BIG | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Leo Team | 73c | 308.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Leo Team | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…ef0dbacked BIG | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked BIG | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed BIG | 72c | 272.36$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked BIG | 72c | 254.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed BIG | 5c | 223$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Leo Team | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Leo Team | 45c | 205.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed BIG | 72c | 199.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed BIG | 77c | 195.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…9e5abacked BIG | 56c | 190$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed BIG | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…89c1backed BIG | 73c | 161.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BIG | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked BIG | 43c | 142.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…eaa8backed BIG | 71c | 139.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Leo Team | 42c | 117.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed BIG | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed BIG | 72c | 91.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked BIG | 72c | 82.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Leo Team | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed BIG | 71c | 72.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed BIG | 46c | 70.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Leo Team | 69c | 65.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…6630backed Leo Team | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BIG | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Leo Team | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed BIG | 77c | 38.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Leo Team | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed BIG | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…e995backed BIG | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Leo Team | 57c | 33.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Leo Team | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed BIG | 64c | 31.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Leo Team | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…2cdcbacked BIG | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked BIG | 69c | 27.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed BIG | 38c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…a228backed BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…4883backed BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1dddbacked BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…70e2backed Leo Team | 80c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed BIG | 71c | 24.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…22cebacked BIG | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked BIG | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.